Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 9.715328 11.139208 12.655509 14.385649 16.300189 18.349035 20.702393
2025-02-23 7.244909 9.110668 11.241102 13.834693 16.886724 20.343752 24.534147
2025-03-02 5.602613 7.686995 10.225901 13.501793 17.568819 22.402687 28.528553
2025-03-09 4.519163 6.729007 9.585957 13.469379 18.521408 24.777520 33.005799
2025-03-16 3.632500 5.859723 8.909008 13.261277 19.170730 26.762752 37.079962
2025-03-23 3.208683 5.547106 8.908626 13.905217 20.929891 30.223916 43.183461
2025-03-30 2.729452 5.065404 8.592694 14.049981 21.985666 32.783701 48.209983
2025-04-06 2.193282 4.396951 7.904469 13.563702 22.083545 34.010349 51.467207
2025-04-13 1.742046 3.782209 7.207878 12.970099 21.943149 34.851259 54.183256
2025-04-20 1.573307 3.632112 7.232070 13.477755 23.446930 38.072701 60.339328
2025-04-27 1.509541 3.664977 7.559759 14.485907 25.758671 42.552730 68.447328
2025-05-04 1.409314 3.608291 7.720101 15.220165 27.671108 46.509554 75.928139
2025-05-11 1.216624 3.336730 7.478190 15.277232 28.546699 49.009053 81.463343
2025-05-18 1.009037 2.990605 7.053706 14.975610 28.814367 50.589723 85.695153
2025-05-25 0.845489 2.707128 6.709698 14.778121 29.228940 52.400863 90.328073
2025-06-01 0.730763 2.514001 6.517780 14.833795 30.060867 54.885176 96.056174
2025-06-08 0.614038 2.286465 6.221864 14.660372 30.474692 56.704472 100.802986
2025-06-15 0.579117 2.273646 6.386165 15.388525 32.512739 61.228308 109.923795
2025-06-22 0.510122 2.146190 6.278008 15.563227 33.559781 64.154667 116.595857
2025-06-29 0.410325 1.895562 5.849739 15.045177 33.303250 64.890449 119.772848
2025-07-06 0.321779 1.648537 5.388089 14.405441 32.766945 65.112516 122.100920
2025-07-13 0.299642 1.625779 5.481346 14.960647 34.522088 69.310179 131.049432
2025-07-20 0.301272 1.692268 5.812038 16.057968 37.368097 75.477446 143.398958